Philosophical Vegan Forum
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At even odds? If so, your fat friend is a lot smarter than you. The odds were about 3 for Trump the week before the election.
How much would you have to bet on Trump before you start wanting for him to win?
Why? Everything went wrong for him during the campaign. Why would you expect him to win?
Again, I was expecting the polls to be broken. Hillary has pretty good market odds last time.
Probably at least $3,000.
You could say the same thing about last election.
So was I. I thought that in the worst case scenario, the polls would be off by the same margins as in 2016, which, i.e., would mean that Biden would still win quite comfortably. It still doesn't explain why you paid twice as much for your bet than the bet was worth. A fair bet would have been you risking $250 for the chance of winning $500.
Red wrote: ↑Mon Nov 09, 2020 8:42 pm
Not at all. He had a lot of good fortune in 2016, particularly with regard to Comey and the Hillary email investigation ten days before the election.
Jebus wrote: ↑Mon Nov 09, 2020 8:59 pmSo was I. I thought that in the worst case scenario, the polls would be off by the same margins as in 2016, which, i.e., would mean that Biden would still win quite comfortably. It still doesn't explain why you paid twice as much for your bet than the bet was worth. A fair bet would have been you risking $250 for the chance of winning $500.
Red wrote: ↑Mon Nov 09, 2020 8:42 pm
Not at all. He had a lot of good fortune in 2016, particularly with regard to Comey and the Hillary email investigation ten days before the election.
So was I. I thought that in the worst case scenario, the polls would be off by the same margins as in 2016, which, i.e., would mean that Biden would still win quite comfortably. It still doesn't explain why you paid twice as much for your bet than the bet was worth. A fair bet would have been you risking $250 for the chance of winning $500.